Monday, 18 April 2011


The Guardianistas are fearful of UKIP realising its potential as a Counterjihad party. They analysed UKIP voters and distinguished two major categories:

"Strategic defectors" are voters who support Ukip at European elections but return to the Conservatives at general elections: they are older, financially comfortable, middle-class men with Conservative sympathies, socially conservative Eurosceptics who are motivated principally by their desire to send a message to the Conservatives. They are driven principally by Euroscepticism (unsurprisingly) and, to a lesser extent, concerns about immigration.

The "core loyalists", on the other hand, stick with Ukip at all elections and are a very different electorate. They are more working class, more economically insecure, and more likely to say they come from Labour-voting families. In all these respects, as our chart below shows, they are more similar to the BNP's support base than the Conservatives'.

A similar pattern emerges when we look at their attitudes. Core loyalists are intensely Eurosceptic, as we might expect, but they are also much more deeply disaffected with mainstream politics than the strategic defectors. Core loyalists regard all the main parties as the same and politicians as deeply corrupt. Anxiety over immigration also emerges as a more powerful motive for this group, although they are distinct from BNP voters on the issue of racism.


These core loyalists have the same concerns as BNP voters but are less racist:

While we found many BNP supporters quite willing to endorse statements such as "black people are intellectually inferior", Ukip core loyalists were much more reluctant – though they expressed higher levels of agreement with such statements than either mainstream Conservatives or strategic Ukip supporters.

Ukip in domestic elections, then, are the BNP minus the racism. Ukip has appropriated the BNP's most potent campaign themes – opposition to immigration, demands for Muslim integration, attacks on the political class – but is free of fascist baggage.


According to the authors UKIP has "an unprecedented opportunity to build a national presence."

They have a large electorate of socially conservative, Eurosceptic, anti-elitist, anti-immigration voters virtually to themselves.

The BNP's bankruptcy and infighting leaves no competition on the far right; the compromises of coalition limit the Conservatives' ability to compete from the centre-right; and Labour's divisions over immigration leave the centre left silent on an issue which is of major concern to voters.


Both the Guardian and the True Finns are telling Nigel Farage that he has an open goal. Does he have what it takes to stick the ball in the net?

[Video from Tundra Tabloids]

1 comments:

Anonymous said...

May we pray that he does have what it takes to cleanse this country before it is too late....

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